From: A comparison of methods to calculate a total merit index using stochastic simulation
Sc. | Years | Reliabilities MULTI | Reliabilities SI | SD MULTI | SD SI | Loss in SR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | Realized | Estimated | Realized | Estimated | Expected* | Estimated | Expected* | Estimated | With SI # |
0 | 11-15 | 31.3 | 46.1 | 27.9 | 48.8 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.4 | 6.0 | −3.2 |
 | 16-20 | 32.1 | 45.9 | 28.8 | 48.6 | 5.7 | 5.9 | 5.4 | 6.1 | −2.7 |
 | 21-25 | 35.4 | 46.0 | 31.2 | 48.8 | 6.1 | 6.2 | 5.7 | 6.7 | −3.8 |
 | 26-30 | 42.0 | 45.7 | 38.0 | 48.3 | 6.9 | 7.2 | 6.6 | 7.9 | −3.7 |
2 | 11-15 | 28.7 | 43.6 | 24.3 | 48.9 | 5.4 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 6.6 | −4.6 |
 | 16-20 | 27.6 | 43.4 | 23.0 | 48.7 | 5.2 | 5.3 | 4.8 | 6.4 | −4.8 |
 | 21-25 | 30.9 | 43.3 | 25.4 | 48.6 | 5.6 | 5.8 | 5.1 | 6.9 | −5.2 |
 | 26-30 | 36.7 | 43.0 | 32.0 | 48.4 | 6.3 | 6.6 | 5.9 | 8.0 | −3.9 |